Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
The Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Indians set down for the pennant drive as they meet for game one of their series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are -165 favorites over the Indians with an over/under total set at 10.
The Boston Red Sox return home from their road trip still in first place in the American League East but still very much in a heated race with the New York Yankees. The Red Sox have won their last two games, are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 33-19 at home this season, and have a two game lead in the A.L. East. Boston leads the Majors in team batting average at .281 led by Adrian Gonzalez at .357, Jacoby Ellsbury at .321, Dustin Pedroia at .309, and David Ortiz at .293. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.89 with the starters at 4.11 and the bullpen at 3.47. For game one of the series against Cleveland Boston starts John Lackey who has been consistently inconsistent this season. For the year Lackey has allowed 123 hits and 67 earned runs while striking out 66 over 97.1 innings of work and he has won his last four starts.
The Cleveland Indians were wheeling and dealing at the trade deadline and they made it clear that they are in it to win it this season. The Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 games, 24-28 on the road this season, and are two and a half games behind the Tigers in the American League Central. As a team Cleveland is hitting .245 led by Asdrubal Cabrera at .289, Michael Brantley at .274, and Shin-Soo Choo at .244. As a team the Indians pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.98 with the starters at 4.25 and the bullpen at 3.42. For game one against the Red Sox Cleveland starts Josh Tomlin who lost last time out despite allowing just four hits over eight innings. For the season Tomlin has allowed 122 hits and 60 earned runs while striking out 73 over 134.2 innings of work.
Boston is 4-1 in their last five home games against a team with a winning record, 49-20 in their last 69 games overall, and 5-2 in Lackey’s last seven home starts. Cleveland is 7-2 in their last nine game one of a series, 2-5 in their last seven against the American League East, and 8-2 in Tomlin’s last eight starts in game one of a series. Cleveland is 2-7 in their last nine games in Boston.
There is definitely some value here on the Indians but I have to give the Red Sox the edge in the game. Im taking the Red Sox small tonight.
Boston Red Sox -165 Cleveland Indians