San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
After a total of two runs scored in the first two games of this series, the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet for the series finale on Sunday. The Dodgers are -130 favorites over the Padres with an over/under run total set at 6.5.
The Los Angeles Dodgers came dangerously close to being no-hit on Saturday as they entered the ninth inning without one but they managed to rally in the bottom of the ninth for the win. Juan Uribe broke up the Padres no hitter and Dioner Navarro drove him home for the Dodgers lone run and the lone run of the game in the 1-0 win. On the mound the Dodgers allowed just one hit as well as Rubby De La Rosa allowed the one hit while walking four and striking out eight over six innings of work and Matt Guerrier, Mike MacDougal, and eventual winner Blake Hawksworth didn’t allow a base runner the rest of the way. For Sunday’s game Los Angeles starts Ted Lilly who has been shelled in each of his last four starts, all loses. For the season Lilly has allowed 112 hits and 56 earned runs while striking out 71 over 102 innings of work.
The San Diego Padres were faced with some tough decisions on Saturday but as it seemed like they made a lot of the right moves, it didn’t convert to a win on the field. Cameron Maybin had the Padres lone hit while Chase Headley reached base twice by walks and Will Verable and Chris Denoria also walked but no one crossed the plate. Aaron harang didn’t allow a hit as he struck out six and walked three over six innings but he left the game after 95 pitches and the Padres bullpen didn’t allow a hit until the ninth inning Luke Gregerson allowed two hits and took his second loss of the season. For Sunday’s game San Diego starts Tim Stauffer who has won his last three starts but who knows what it means to get zero run support. For the season Stauffer has allowed 109 hits and 37 earned runs while striking out 89 over 112 innings of work.
Los Angeles is 1-4 in their last five game three of a series, 5-1 in their last six home games against a team with a losing record, and 1-5 in Lilly’s last six home starts. San Diego is 5-12 in their last 17 road games, 5-12 in their last 17 against a team with a losing record, and 7-3 in Stauffer’s last 10 road starts. San Diego is 5-0 in Stauffer’s last five starts against Los Angeles.
I really like the Padres edge here with Stauffer pitching well all year and his record not representative of his work and Ted Lilly looking done. The thing is San Diego hasn’t scored in two days so it’s tough to go hog wild here though they are good enough to play.
San Diego Padres +110 Los Angeles Dodgers