Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins
The Minnesota Twins and the Milwaukee Brewers meet for the rubber match of their interleague series on Sunday at Target Field. The Brewers are -135 favorites over the Twins with an over/under run total set at 8.
The Minnesota Twins will need to regroup in a hurry as they blew a three run lead and the game in the ninth inning on Saturday as they looked to have it won. Michael Cuddyer and Danny Valencia each hit solo home runs and Valencia had three hits and three RBI’s while scoring twice, Cuddyer had two hits, scored twice and drive in two runs, and Jason Repko, Luke Highes, and Alexi Casilla all had two hits each as part of the 14 hits and seven runs of offense for the Twins. Starter Carl Pavano allowed eight hits and four runs, three of them earned while striking out four over 7.2 innings to not figure in the decision as Matt Capps allowed five hits and four runs blowing his sixth save of the year and taking his fourth loss. On Sunday Minnesota looks to rebound as they send Nick Blackburn out for the start as he looks to end a personal two game losing streak. For the season Blackburn has allowed 113 hits and 41 earned runs while striking out 52 over 101.1 innings of work.
The Milwaukee Brewers snagged victory from the jaws of defeat as they rallied in the ninth inning to get the win on Saturday Night. Nyjer Morgan had three hits, four RBI’s and scored three times and Prince Fielder, Yuniesky Betancourt, Mark Kotsay, and Jonathan Lucroy each had two hits as part of the 13 hits and eight runs for the Brewers. Starter Chris Narveson was shelled allowing 14 hits and seven earned runs lasting just 4.2 innings but it was Takashi Saito who was the unlikely winner and John Axford who picked up his 21st save. For Sunday’s series finale Milwaukee goes with Zack Greinke who has been awful in two of his last three starts, both of those on the road. For the season Greinke has allowed 66 hits and 39 earned runs while striking out 80 over 62.1 innings of work.
Minnesota is 10-2 in their last 12 home games, 5-2 in their last seven home games against a team with a winning record, and 0-5 in Blackburn’s last five interleague starts. Milwaukee is 8-1 in their last nine against the AL Central, 1-5 in their last six road games, and 8-2 in Greinke’s last 10 starts. Milwaukee is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
Greinke hasn’t been good on the road and neither has the Brewers overall so getting the home team as a dog is the play here. I’m taking the Twins plus the 115.
Minnesota Twins +115 Milwaukee Brewers