Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Houston Astros as they meet for game one of their series at Miller Park. The Brewers are -180 favorites over the Astros with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Milwaukee Brewers are the latest team to emerge from the pack in the National League Central to grab the lead but it will be a long time before this division race is settled. The Brewers are 6-4 in their last 10 games, have won three games in a row, 36-14 at home, and have a game and a half lead over the Pirates and the Cardinals. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .25 led by Ryan Braun at .328, Nyjer Morgan at .322, and Prince Fielder at .286. The Brewers pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94 with the starters at 3.96 and the bullpen at 3.92. For game one against the Astros Milwaukee starts Randy Wolf who has lost his last four decisions. For the season Wolf has allowed 132 hits and 53 earned runs while striking out 91 in 131.2 innings of work.
The Houston Astros have the worst record in baseball this season but that didn’t stop them from knocking the St. Louis Cardinals from first place by winning the final two games of their series at Busch Stadium. The Astros are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 18-34 on the road this season, and 21.5 games back in the National League Central. As a team Houston is hitting .262 led by Hunter Pence at .309, Michael Bourn at .306, and Carlos Lee at .280. The Astros pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.59 with the starters at 4.66 and the bullpen at 4.45. For game one at Miller Park Houston starts Jordan Lyles who continue to look for his first win. For the season Lyles has allowed 63 hits and 30 earned runs while striking out 46 in 61.1 innings of work.
Milwaukee is 41-15 in their last 56 home games, 5-1 in their last six games against a right handed starter, and 1-4 in Wolf’s last five starts. Houston is 21-41 in their last 62 road games, 17-39 in their last 56 games overall, and 0-9 in Lyles last nine starts. Houston is 9-26 in their last 35 games in Milwaukee.
It’s tough not to like Milwaukee at home this season and even at a big price on a guy who hasn’t won in a while it seems to be the better choice. Take the Brewers minus the 180.
Milwaukee Brewers -180 Houston Astros