Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
The Milwaukee Brewers return home from the road as they host regional rival the Chicago Cubs. The Brewers are -145 favorites over the Cubs with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Milwaukee Brewers went just .500 on their road trip but compared to how their road games have gone most of the year that would have to be classified as a big success but now they return home where they have been outstanding. The Brewers are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 33-14 at home this season, and they are in a three way tie for the lead in the National League Central. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .256 led by Ryan Braun at .321, Nyjer Morgan at .327, and Price Fielder at .287. As a team the Brewers pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.02 with the starters at 4.01 and the bullpen at 4.04. For game one against the Cubbies Milwaukee starts Chris Narveson who had a no decision in his last start despite pitching seven shutout innings. For the season Narveson has allowed 118 hits and 57 earned runs while striking out 98 in 115.1 innings of work.
The Chicago Cubs head to Milwaukee more than likely with a team of players of which several may not be with the team much longer as the trade deadline approaches. The Cubs have won three in a row, are 5-5 in their last 10 games, and are 17-29 on the road this year. As a team Chicago is hitting .263 led by Starlin Castro at .302, Marlon Byrd at .314, and Darwin Barney and Aramis Ramirez both at .299. As a team the Cubs pitching staff has an ERA of 4.63 with the starters at 5.11 and the bullpen at 3.80. For game one at Miller Park Chicago starts Rodrigo Lopez who won his last start but pitched two-thirds of an inning out of the bullpen on Sunday. For the season Lopez has allowed 42 hits and 15 earned runs while striking out 20 over 38.2 innings of work.
Milwaukee is 5-2 in their last seven games following a loss, 21-6 in their lst 27 home games against a right handed starter, and 4-1 in Narveson’s last five starts. Chicago is 3-7 in their last 10 games following an off day, 7-19 in their last 26 road games, and 1-6 in their last seven games against a left handed starter. Milwaukee is 4-0 in Narveson’s last four starts against Chicago.
Both of these teams can swing the bat and neither have their best arms going here so expect balls to be flying and for the score to fly over the total. Take the over 8.5.