Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals resume their quest for the National League Central title as they meet for game one of their series in Cincinnati. The reds are -160 favorites over the Cardinals with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Cincinnati Reds won the National League Central in 2010 but they weren’t the leaders in the division at the All Star Break, and once again this season they aren’t leading as well. The Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 23-21 at home, and they are in fourth place in the division, four games behind the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cardinals. As a team Cincinnati is hitting .260 with Joey Votto hitting .324, Brandon Phillips at .290, and Jay Bruce at .268. As a team the Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 4.17 with the starters at 4.61 and the bullpen at 3.36. For game one against their hated rivals Cincinnati starts Johnny Cueto who hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any start this year. For the season Cueto has allowed 57 hits and 18 earned runs while striking out 50 in 82.2 innings of work.
The St. Louis Cardinals are tied for the lead in the National League Central but last season they were leading at this point and weren’t able to get it across the finish line. The Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 games, have won their last two games, and are 24-22 on the road this season. As a team St. Louis is hitting .270 led by Matt Holliday at .324, Lance Berkman at .290, and Ryan Theriot at .285. As a team the Cardinals pitching staff has an ERA of 3.97 with the starters at 3.96 and the bullpen at 4.00. For game one at Great American Ballpark St. Louis starts Jake Westbrook who was touched up in his last start, against these same Reds. For the season Westbrook has allowed 117 hits and 58 earned runs while striking out 52 in 117 innings of work.
Cincinnati is 2-5 in their last seven games overall, 1-6 in their last seven game one of a series, and 2-5 in Cueto’s last seven home starts. St. Louis is 5-2 in their last seven games following a win, 2-7 in their last nine games against a right handed starter, and 4-1 in Westbrook’s last five road starts.
I like the Reds chances in this one. Im taking them minus the 160,
Cincinnati Reds -160 St. Louis Cardinals