Chicago Cubs vs. Florida Marlins
The Chicago Cubs and Florida Marlins open up their weekend series on Thursday at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are -120 favorites over the Marlins with an over/under run total set at 7.
The Chicago Cubs can only hope for improvement after the All Star Break as it’s been a tough go of it through their first 92 games. The Cubs are 20-26 at home, 3-7 in their last 10 games, and in fifth place in the National League Central, 12 games out of the lead. As a team Chicago is hitting .263 led by Starlin Castro at .307, Reed Johnson at .328, Darwin Barney at .306, and Aramis Ramirez at .298. As a team the Cubs’ pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.65 with the starters at 5.29 and the bullpen at 3.57. For game one against the Marlins Chicago starts Matt Garza who has found life as a Cub isn’t quite as nice as it was as a member of the Rays. For the season Garza has allowed 94 hits and 45 earned runs while striking out 99 in 95 innings of work.
The Florida Marlins got off to a solid start this season but when the ace of their staff, Josh Johnson, went down with an injury, their season began to unravel. The Marlins are 22-22 on the road, 7-3 in their last 10 games, have won five games in a row, but are in last place in the National League East and 14 games back. As a team Florida is hitting .245 led by Gaby Sanchez at .293, Emilio Bonifacio at .285, and Logan Morrison at .267. As a staff the Marlins have an ERA of 3.92 with the starters at 4.19 and the bullpen at 3.41. For game one at Wrigley Florida starts Anibal Sanchez who has struggled in his last two starts. For the season Sanchez has allowed 103 hits and 45 earned runs while striking out 117 in 113 innings of work.
Chicago is 2-5 in their last seven games overall, 2-6 in their last eight games following an off day, and 1-4 in Garza’s last five starts in game one of a series. Florida is 6-0 in their last six games against a team with a losing record, 1-7 in their last eight game one of a series, and 1-4 in Sanchez’s last five starts. Chicago has won the last six meetings of these two.
We have two guys on the mound who can deal and hits and runs shouldn’t be too common here. It should be fairly chilly for a summer night in Chicago and it should be cold as far as the bats go. Im taking the under 7.