Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
The Boston Red Sox and the Seattle Mariners meet for game two of their series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are -250 favorites over the Mariners with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Boston Red Sox continue to show they have what it takes to lead the American League East and they showed it once more on Friday by disposing of the Mariners in game one of their series. Jacoby Ellsbury had two hits including a home run and he scored twice, Dustin Pedroia had three hits and scored twice, and Adrian Gonzalez and Kevin Youklis both drove in two runs as part of a 13 hit seven run offensive attack. On the mound John Lackey shrugged off allowing a first inning run as he allowed eight hits and a run over seven innings of work to earn his eighth win of the season and Jonathan Papelbon pitched the ninth inning to pick up his 22nd save. For Saturday’s game Boston starts Josh Beckett who is having his best statistical season in his probable Hall of Fame career. For the season Beckett has allowed 73 hits and 28 earned runs while striking out 100 in 119 innings of work.
The Seattle Mariners are in one of the worst tailspins of any team in baseball this season as they have lost 13 games in a row. On Friday Mike Carp had a three run home run and Miguel Olivo, Ichiro Suzuki, and Jack Cust had two hits each as the Mariners scored four runs off of 11 hits. On the mound Felix Hernandez couldn’t hold off the Boston bats as he allowed 11 hits and six earned runs while striking out just two over 6.1 innings of work to take his ninth loss of the season. For game two at Fenway Park Seattle starts Blake Beaven who makes his fourth Major League start. For the season Beaven has allowed 15 hits and six earned runs while striking out eight over 20 innings of work.
Boston is 4-1 in their last five game two of a series, 21-8 in their last 29 home games, and 23-9 in Beckett’s last 32 home starts. Seattle is 6-21 in their last 27 overall, 1-5 in their last six against the A.L. East, and 0-7 in their last seven games against a right handed starter. Boston is 6-0 in Beckett’s last six starts against Seattle.
While taking Beckett in this match up looks ever so appealing these odds don’t so I’ll look to the total and for maybe some balls to go flying around Fenway like it seems they have been for most of the season. Take the over 8.5 runs.