Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
First place in the American League East hosts last place in the American League Central as the Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals meet for game one of their series at Fenway Park. The Red are -275 favorites over the Royals with an over/under run total set at 9.
The Boston Red Sox continue to look like the best team in the American League right now but they know as well as anyone that pennants aren’t won in July. The Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games, they have won four games in arrow, and they are 31-17 at home this season. As a team Boston is hitting .277 led by Adrian Gonzalez at .346, Jacoby Ellsbury at .320, Dustin Pedroia at .299, and David Ortiz at .296. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has an ERA of 3.88 with the starters at 4.04 and the bullpen at 3.57. For game one against the Royals Boston starts Jon Lester who returns from the 15-day DL. For the season Lester has allowed 98 hits and 42 earned runs while striking out 110 in 114.1 innings of work.
The Kansas City Royals look like they have built a lineup to grow with but unfortunately for them their pitching isn’t in quite the same position. The Royals are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 14-30 on the road this season, and 12 games out in the A.L. Central. As a team Kansas City is hitting .264 led by Alex Gordon at .299, Melky Cabrera at .295, Billy Butler at .285, and Eric Hosmer at .277. As a team the Royals’ pitching staff has an ERA of 4.45 with the starters at 5.01 and the bullpen at 3.22. For game one at Fenway Park Kansas City starts Kyle Davies who has lost eight consecutive decisions. For the season Davies has allowed 79 hits and 45 earned runs while striking out 44 in 55.1 innings of work.
Boston is 23-8 in their last 31 home games, 45-17 in their last 62 games overall, and 11-4 in Lester’s last 15 starts. Kansas City is 22-57 in their last 79 road games, 16-38 in their last 54 game one of a series, and 1-10 in Davies last 11 starts as an underdog. Boston is 4-0 in Lester’s last four home starts against the Royals.
I can see the Royals bats getting to Lester but I can really see the Boston bats pounding Davies. This one could get ugly. Take the Red Sox despite the minus 275
Boston Red Sox -275 Kansas City Royals