Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles meet for game one of their series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are -160 favorites over the Orioles with an over/under run total set at 10.
The Boston Red Sox would be in the playoffs as the AL Wild Card team if the season ended today but this is a team with its eye on the bigger prize, the AL East title. The Red Sox are 24-17 at home this season, 7-3 in their last 10 games, and trail the Yankees by a game in the AL East. As a team Boston has the highest batting average in the Majors at .274 led by Adrian Gonzalez at .348, Jacoby Ellsbury at .310, and David Ortiz at .299. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has an ERA of 3.95 with the starters at 4.05 and the bullpen at 3.75. For game one against the Orioles Boston Starts Andrew Miller who has looked better than he ever has as a Major League pitcher. For the season Miller has allowed 19 hits and six earned runs while striking out 13 over 17.2 innings of work.
The Baltimore Orioles were looking decent earlier this season but that seems like a distant memory right now as this team looks beaten. The Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games, 14-26 on the road this season, and have lost three in a row coming into this series. As a team Baltimore is hitting .260 led by Nick Markakis at .293, J.J. hardy at .288, Adam Jones at .283, and Vladimir Guerrero at .282. As a team the Orioles pitching staff has an ERA of 4.51 with the starters at 4.671 and the bullpen at 4.26. For game one at Fenway Park Baltimore starts Jake Arrieta who has lost two of his last three starts. For the season Arrieta has allowed 82 hits and 49 earned runs while striking out 76 over 93 innings of work.
Boston is 6-1 in their last seven games as a favorite, 14-3 in their last 17 against the AL East, and 37-17 in their last 54 overall. Baltimore is 17-36 in their last 43 against a team with a winning record, 2-5 in their last seven game one of a series, and 4-1 in Arrieta’s last five starts against a team with a winning record. Baltimore is 13-39 in their last 52 games in Boston.
Miller has been a pleasant surprise for the Sox and I have to give him the edge in getting it done again here. Take the Red Sox minus the 160.
Boston Red Sox -160 Baltimore Orioles