Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
After playing 29 innings against one another over the last two games the Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet for game four of their series in Atlanta. The Braves are -170 favorites over the Pirates with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Atlanta Braves have scored four runs over their last two games but it has been enough for two wins though they went the long way in getting them. On Wednesday Freddie Freeman and Dan Uggla each had three hits and Nate McLouth, Martin Prado, and David Ross each had two hits as the Braves managed just two runs off of 14 hits. Starter Jair Jurrjens allowed six hits and a run while striking out four over seven innings of work to not factor in the decision as Scott Linebrink got his fourth win after pitching the 10th inning. For the series finale on Thursday Atlanta starts Derek Lowe who has lost two of his last three starts. For the season Jurrjens has allowed 129 hits and 62 earned runs while striking out 84 in 124.1 innings of work.
The Pittsburgh Pirtates once again went the distance and beyond trying to get the win in Atlanta but once again they fell short losing in extra innings. Garrett Jones hit a solo home run, Neil Walker had two hits, and Pedro Alvarez had a hit as the Pirates scored just one run off of seven hits. On the mound Paul Maholm pitched his way out of trouble as he allowed nine hits and a run while striking out eight over seven innings of work but it was Chris Leroux who took the loss allowing three hits and a run while retiring just one batter. For Thursday’s game Pittsburgh goes for the series split as they stat Kevin Correia who has lost his last two decisions. For the season Correia has allowed 136 hits and 62 earned runs while striking out 65 in 127.1 innings of work.
Atlanta is 14-3 in their last 17 home games, 15-5 in their last 20 games as a favorite, and 6-1 in Lowe’s last seven home starts. Pittsburgh is 16-47 in their last 63 road games against a team with a winning record, 34-72 in game four of a series, and 10-2 in Correia’s last 12 road starts as an underdog. Pittsburgh is 1-5 in the last six meetings of these two.
There have been six total runs scored in the last 29 innings between these two, I can’t see them scoring more than that in one game. I’ll go with the under 7.5.