Florida Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
The Florida Marlins continue to look for answers as they host the Atlanta Braves for game three of their series. The Braves are -150 favorites over the Marlins with an over/under run total set at 7.5 runs.
The Florida Marlins lost for the seventh consecutive time on Wednesday and like most of the losses, it was a close game and this time it even went to extra innings. Mike Stanton had a hit and drive in both Florida runs as Logan Morrison and John Buck scored. Starter Ricky Nolasco allowed eight hits and two runs while striking out five over 7.1innings of work to not factor in the decision and it was Mike Dunn who allowed two hits and a run in 1.1 innings of work on the mound to not factor in the decision. For Thursday’s game Florida starts Chris Volstad who has lost his last four decisions. For the season Volstad has allowed 70 hits and 38 earned runs while striking out 43 in 60.1 innings of work.
The Atlanta Braves are in hot pursuit of the Philadelphia Phillies as they trail them by just three games and they are right at the top of the NL Wild Card race. On Wednesday Jordan Schafer, Alex Gonzalez, And Brian McCann each had two hits in the Braves 10 hit three run offensive effort. Starter Derek Lowe had a no hitter through six innings but finished allowing two hits and striking out five over 6.2 innings of work not factoring the decision as Craig Kimbrel blew the save and then got the win after allowing two hits and two runs and Scott Linebrink got his first save of the year. For Thursday’s game Atlanta starts Jair Jurrjens who has been their best pitcher this season. For the year Jurrjens has allowed 62 hits and 14 earned runs while striking out 44 in 72 innings of work.
Florida is 0-7 in their last seven home games, 3-9 in their last 12 games after losing the first two games of a series, and 7-3 in Volstad’s last 10 home starts. Atlanta is 7-1 in their last eight road games against a team with a winning record, 9-2 in their last 11 games in game three of a series, and 6-2 in Jurrjens’ last eight starts. Atlanta is 6-2 in the last eight meetings of these two.
This should be another tight one and while Jurrjens has been winning, he has been far from unhittable. I see Florida ending their losing streak. Take the Marlins plus the 130.
Florida Marlins -130 Atlanta Braves