Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers conclude their first series of 2011 on Sunday in Cincinnati after playing extras on Saturday. The Reds are -130 favorites over the Dodgers with an over/under run total set at 8.5
The Cincinnati Reds have been inconsistent this season and even strong bats can’t get it done without an even pitching effort and the Reds proved that again on Saturday. Joey Votto homered and had two hits driving in three runs, and Brandon Phillips, Drew Stubbs, and Ramon Hernandez all added two hits in a 13 hit eight run offensive effort which wasn’t enough to get it done. Starter Johnny Cueto allowed five hits and two earned runs through seven innings but Nick Masset allowed three hits and three runs in just a third of an inning then Bill bray and Logan Ondrusek couldn’t hold down the fort to blow the save by allowing five runs in the eighth inning to force extra innings where Carlos Fisher allowed four hits and four runs taking his third loss of the year. On Sunday Cincinnati looks to bounce back as they send Travis Wood to the mound who has won his last three decisions. For the season Wood has allowed 74 hits and 38 earned runs while striking out 50 in 67.2 innings of work.
The Los Angeles Dodgers’ 2011 season has been a struggle but they haven’t quit and they didn’t quit on Saturday as they pulled out an improbable win. Matt Kemp had three hits, two home runs and six RBI’s, Jamey Carroll had four hits and scored twice, and Aaron Miles had three hits, drove in three runs, and scored twice in a 15 hit 11 run offensive explosion. Clayton Kershaw didn’t have his best stuff as he allowed six hits and six runs while striking out nine in 6.2 innings of work to not factor in the decision as it was Javy Guerra who allowed two hits and run but got the win. For Sunday’s game Los Angeles starts Chad Billingsley who has won both of his last two starts. For the season Billingsley has allowed 67 hits and 29 earned runs while striking out 71 in 75.1 innings of work.
Cincinnati is 5-12 in their last 17 games overall, 10-4 in their last 14 home games, and 0-6 in Wood’s last six starts against the National League West, Los Angeles is 11-5 in their last 16 games against a left handed starter, 2-5 in their last seven road games, and 3-10 in Billingsley’s last 13 road starts. The under is 4-2-1 in the last seven meetings of these two.
While both of these teams unloaded with the offense on Saturday, I don’t see it being nearly as high scoring on Sunday and see this one coming in under the total. Take the under 8.5 runs here.