Boston Red Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers
First place in the National League Central visits first place in the American League East as the Boston Red Sox host the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of their series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are -115 favorites over the Brewers with an over/under run total set at 9.5.
The Boston Red Sox are looking like the favorites to represent the American League in the World Series though there are plenty of games to play and plenty of months between now and the Fall Classic. The Red Sox have won nine of their last 10 games, are 19-13 at home, and have a game and a half lead over the New York Yankees. As a team Boston is hitting .273 led by Adrian Gonzalez at .347, David Ortiz at .314, and Jacoby Ellsbury at .314. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.98 with the starters at 3.91 and the bullpen at 4.11. For game one of this interleague series Boston starts John Lackey who has won his last two starts. For the season Lackey has allowed 62 hits and 42 earned runs while striking out 29 over 51 innings of work.
The Milwaukee Brewers are in first place in the National League Central where three games separate first and fourth place in the division. The Brewers are 5-5 in their last 10, 14-22 on the road, and have a game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .255 with Nyjer Morgan hitting .333, Ryan Braun hitting .312, Prince Fielder hitting .297, and Rickie Weeks hitting .290. For game one at Fenway Park Milwaukee starts Shaun Marcum who has won five of his last six decisions. For the season Marcum has allowed 69 hits and 27 earned runs while striking out 83 over 90.2 innings of work.
Boston is 6-1 in their last seven games against a right handed starter, 25-4 in their last 29 games against a team with a winning record, and 14-6 in Lackey’s last 20 starts. Milwaukee is 5-1 in their last six games against the AL East, 21-7 in their last 28 games against a right handed starter, and 3-1o in their last 132 games as a road underdog.
This game should be easy picking as the pitching match up is one sided in favor of the Brewers but from what we saw of Milwaukee in their last series in Chicago against the Cubs they are a poorly managed teams who don’t understand some of the basics of the game and that is why they have so much trouble on the road. Marcum will need to carry them. I’m taking the Brewers minus the 105.
Milwaukee Brewers -105 Boston Red Sox