New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
After playing in a high scoring rain shortened game on Wednesday Night, the Chicago Cubs and the New York Mets return to Wrigley Field for an afternoon match up. The Chicago Cubs are -145 favorites over the New York Mets with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Chicago Cubs came out offensively like gangbusters in the first inning on Wednesday but as the game progressed they simply couldn’t keep pace with the Mets and by the time the rain came, they were on the wrong end of the scoreboard. Reed Johnson and Alfonso Soriano both drove in two runs while Kosuke Fukudome, Starlin Castro, and Carlos Pena scored with all of the offense coming in the bottom of the first inning. Starter Casey Coleman essentially served up New York batting practice as he allowed seven hits and six runs while lasting just one and a third innings as he took his fourth loss of the year. After using four pitchers in just six and two thirds innings on Wednesday Chicago starts Carlos Zambrano who had a no decision in a 122 pitch outing his last time out. For the season Zambrano has allowed 60 hits and 34 earned runs while striking out 41 in 62.2 innings of work.
The New York Mets had runners on base when the game was halted and then ultimately declared over on Wednesday Night as they had the bats working overtime. Jose Reyes, Carlos Beltran, Jason Pridie, and Ruben Tejada all had two hits in a 12 hit seven run offensive effort where they didn’t even finish seven innings. Dillon Gee overcame a rough first inning as he settled in to allow four runs and four hits while striking out four over six innings of work though all of the damage came against him in the first inning. For Thursday’s game New York starts R.A. Dickey who hasn’t been able to follow up on last season’s big year. For the season Dickey has allowed 68 hits and 30 earned runs while striking out 34 in 57.1 innings of work.
The Cubs are 17-6 in their last 23 against the National League East, 1-6 in their last seven home games against a team with a losing road record, and 2-5 in Zambrano’s last seven starts against the NL East. New York is 7-3 in their last 10 game three of a series, 4-7 in their last 11 against the NL Central, and 0-4 in Dickey’s last four starts in game three of a series. New York is 3-7 in their last 10 games in Chicago.
The bats were red hot when the rain came down on Wednesday and while Zambrano has been effective, we should see a lot more runs once again. Take the over 8.5 runs here.