Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Francisco Giants meet up for game one of a three game series at Miller Park in Milwaukee. The Brewers are -120 favorites over the Giants with an over/under total of 6.5.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been playing as well as anyone of late as they are making a run at the National League Central. The Brewers have won six games in a row, are 8-2 in their last 10 games, and are just two and a half games behind the St. Louis Cardinals. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .255 with Ryan Braun hitting .306, Rickie Weeks hitting .288, and Prince Fielder hitting .285. As a team Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.77 with the starters at 3.97 and the bullpen at 3.37. For game one against the defending World Series Champs Milwaukee starts Shaun Marcum who has won his last six decisions. For the year Marcum has allowed 51 hits and 17 earned runs while striking out 62 in 64.2 innings of work.
The San Francisco Giants are in first place in the National League West but they are struggling of late getting swept at home by Florida. The Giants are 5-5 in there last 10, have lost their last three in a row, and 14-14 on the road this season. As a team San Francisco is hitting .243 led by Freddy Sanchez at .294, Aaron Rowand at .246, Cody Ross at .245, and Pat Burrell at .237. As a team the Giants pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.22 with the starters at 3.16 with the bullpen at 3.34. For game one in Milwaukee San Francisco starts The Freak, Tim Lincecum, who has three shutout performances in his last four games.
Milwaukee is 8-0 in their last eight home games against a right handed starter, 13-3 in their last 16 games overall, and 4-0 in Marcum’s last four starts in game one of a series. San Francisco is 2-6 in their last eight games against a right handed starter, 0-5 in their last five games against a team with a winning record, and 15-6 in Lincecum’s last 21 starts. San Francisco is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings of these two.
The Giants bats are no match for Marcum and no one’s bats are much of a match up for Lincecum. Game one to the pitchers and defense. I’m taking the under 6.5 here.