Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks
The Dallas Mavericks look to close out the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers in straight sets in Game 4. The Mavericks are 2-points favorites at home over the Lakers and the over/under total for the game is set at 187.
The Lakers two year reign as NBA champions came closer to ending on Friday night as they fell for the third straight time to the Mavericks 98-92 in the best of seven series. Dirk Nowitzki led the way once again with 32 points for the Mavericks who outscored the Lakers 32-20 in the fourth quarter to secure the win.
Much like in Game 1, the Lakers controlled the pace of the game and held a seven-point lead with a little over five minutes remaining. However, consecutive three’s by Nowitzki and Peja Stojakovic jump started a 18-6 run by Dallas, which turned out to be the difference in the game. The Lakers now face the near impossible task of coming back from a 3-0 deficit, something that no team has been able to do in NBA history.
The Mavericks are 7-0 against the spread in there last seven home games and 16-6 against the spread in their last 22 games overall. The Lakers on the other hand are 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 games as an underdog of 1-4 points and 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 games overall. Head to head, the Mavericks are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings while the road team is 12-6 against the spread in the last 18 meetings. The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings and 7-3 in the last 10 in Dallas.
As hard is it is to believe, the Mavericks have a chance to sweep the Lakers in the playoffs, and I think they get it done here. The motivation angle is even here because as desperate as the Lakers are going to be, the last thing the Mavericks want to do is send the Lakers back home with some confidence in Game 5. The Mavericks have flat out been the better team this series and nothing leads me to believe they won’t close it out here. Take the Mavericks minus the 2-points.
Dallas Mavericks -2 Los Angeles Lakers
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