Kentucky Derby betting and tips
Anticipation is starting to build for this year’s Kentucky Derby and early odds for betting the first jewel in horse racing’s Triple Crown have been posted at sportsbook.com.
With a shortage of obvious standouts and few if any horses than can be dismissed outright, this year’s Kentucky Derby shapes up as a handicapper’s nightmare. One person’s nightmare, however, is another’s opportunity, or at least it can be. The first step is reducing the number of playable horses to a manageable level. Six horses that intrigues me this year are as follows:
Dialed In +350 – The current Derby favorite along with Uncle Mo, Dialed In has won three of four career starts with his win in the Florida Derby being the most significant. That’s because the winner of the Florida Derby has gone on to win the Kentucky Derby twice in the last five years (Barbaro 2006, Big Brown 2008). He’s won at Churchill Downs before and has Nick Zito, who has trained two Kentucky Derby winners, in his corner.
Uncle Mo +350 – Despite a poor performance in the Wood Memorial, trainer Todd Pletcher and owner Mike Repole have not lost faith in the two-year-old champ. “If he doesn’t go off the favorite, I’ll make him the favorite,” Repole said. It was revealed that a gastrointestinal infection slowed down Uncle Mo in the Wood, but a series a good workouts leading up to the Derby give us reason to believe he has recovered. Pletcher picked up his first Kentucky Derby win with Super Saver last year and could very well make it two in a row after being denied so many times.
Nehro +500 – Here is an intriguing option. Nehro hasn’t won a major prep race but ran second in the Louisiana and Arkansas Derbies while appearing to have more left in the tank when breaking the finish line. His endurance could treat him well with the longer Kentucky Derby distance.
Toby’s Corner +1200 – This horse won the Wood Memorial by running the same type of race many horses have run to win the Kentucky Derby. He navigated through a lot of traffic and then showed a nice finishing kick down the stretch.
Twice the Appeal +2500 – This horse has twice the appeal now that jockey Calvin Borel will get the mount. A 25-1 upset in the Sunland Derby got this horse into the field and Borel, who has won the Kentucky Derby three times in the last four years, is hoping to continue his magical run at Churchill.
My recommendation for this race is to parlay different combinations of these six horses to have a nice payday. I feel like these six horses will have the best chance of the 20-horse field and will have a nice payout.
2011 Kentucky Derby Predictions
Win: Dialed In
Show: Twice the Appeal