Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays meet for the rubber match of their three game series in Detroit. The Tigers are -145 favorites over the Rays with an over/under total set at 8.5.
With their best pitcher on the mound, the Detroit Tigers needed a big offensive effort to get the win on Tuesday. Alex Avila homered twice and drove in three runs, Miguel Cabrera homered once and drove in three runs, and Don Kelly and Scott Sizemore each had two hits in a 10 hit seven run offensive effort. Starter Justin Verlander allowed nine hits and six earned runs while striking out two over six innings of work to not factor in the decision as Al Alburquerque pitched two-thirds of an inning to get his first win and Joaquin Benoit got his first save. On Wednesday Detroit starts brad Penny who lost last time out after winning three games in a row. For the season Penny has allowed 58 hits and 31 earned runs while striking out 27 over 62.2 innings of work.
The Tampa Bay Rays dropped to third place in the American League East, a game out of first place, by losing to Tigers on Tuesday. Matt Joyce had three hits including a home run scoring twice and driving in two runs and Johnny Damon, B.J. Upton, and Sean Rodriguez had two hits each in a 12 hit six run offensive effort. Wade Davis allowed eight hits and five runs, four of them earned, while striking out four over six innings of work to not factor in the decision as Cesar Ramos allowed two hits and run without retiring a batter to blow the save and take the loss. For Wednesday afternoon’s rematch Tampa Bay starts Andy Sonnastine who makes his fourth start after working from the bullpen earlier in the year. For the season Sonnastine has allowed 28 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out eight over 25.2 innings of work.
Detroit is 6-2 in their last eight home games, 5-2 in their last seven game three of a series, and 4-1 in Penny’s last five home starts. Tampa Bay is 8-2 in their last 10 game three of a series, 10-4 in their last 14 road games against a right handed starter, and 2-8 in Sonnastine’s last 10 starts. Tampa Bay is 6-3 in the last nine meetings of these two.
We saw a ton of offense with better pitchers than these going on Tuesday so we should expect a lot of runs here as well. I’m taking the over 8.5 runs here.