Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
After a day off for each of them, the Arizona Diamondbacks face the Colorado Rockies in game one of their series in Arizona. The Rockies are -150 favorites over the Diamondbacks with an over/under total set at 9.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are in fourth place in the National League West, five and a half games back of the division leading Rockies. The D-Backs are 8-8 at home, have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, and have been outscored by their opponents 131-142. As a team Arizona is hitting .250 with Stephen Drew hitting .306, Miguel Montero at .281, and Justin Upton is hitting .265. As a staff the Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.82 with the starters at 5.19 and the bullpen at 4.07. For game one of the series against Colorado Arizona starts Joe Saunders who has yet to win a game this season. For the year Saunders has allowed 35 hits and 18 runs while striking out 18 in 27.1 innings of work.
The Colorado Rockies are in first place in the National League West and while they usually are slow starters, they are getting it done early this season. The Rockies have gone 10-3 on the road this year, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and have outscored their opponents 123-104. As a team Colorado is hitting .237 with Todd Helton hitting .307, Seth Smith hitting .303, Jonathan Herrera is hitting .300, and Troy Tulowitzki is hitting .296. The Rockies pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.70 with the starters at 4.14 and the bullpen at 2.91. For game one in Arizona Colorado starts Jorge De La Rosa who has yet to lose this season. For the year De La Rosa has allowed 20 hits and nine earned runs while striking out 29 in 31 innings of work.
Arizona is 2-5 in their last seven games as an underdog, 3-8 in their last 11 against the NL West, and 1-5 in Saunders’ last six starts. Colorado is 4-0 in their last four games following a loss, 5-1 in their last six games as a road favorite, and 10-3 in De La Rosa’s last 13 starts as a road favorite. Colorado is 1-5 in their last six meetings in Arizona.
The Rockies have been a solid road team but I also am a believer that Saunders is a better pitcher not just this season but over the course of his career than his record indicates. I think we see this one stay under the total of 9.5 runs.