Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners are -165 favorites over the Toronto Blue Jays this evening.Â The over/under run total is set at 7 runs. The Seattle Mariners look for their first home win of the season as they start their series hosting the Toronto Blue Jays.
The Seattle Mariners losing streak is at seven games and this season is starting to look like last season when they weren’t competitive. The Mariners are already six games back and in last place in the AL West as they have been outscored by a total of 18 runs this season. As a team Seattle is hitting .220 and they are 25th in on base percentage and 26th in slugging. Ichiro Suzuki, Milton Bradley, and Miguel Olivo are leading the team in hitting at .250 and it only goes down from there. The mariners pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.37 as their opponents hit .261 against them. For Monday’s game Seattle starts their best, Felix Hernandez who is making his third start of the year. Thus far this season Hernandez has allowed 11 hits and six runs while striking out 11 in 16 innings of work.
The Toronto Blue Jays haven’t been a good road team over the years and they know in order to compete in the AL East they are going to have to get wins outside of Toronto. The Blue Jays are just a game back of the Baltimore Orioles and they have outscored their opponents 44-30. As a team Toronto is hitting .254 and they are 17th in one base percentage as Yunel Escobar is hitting .476, Jose Bautista is hitting .364, and Adam Lind is hitting .308. The Blue Jays pitching staff has the second best ERA in baseball at 2.63 and they are eighth in batting average against at .239. For game one in Seattle Toronto starts Jesse Litsch. In his first outing this year Litsch allowed six hits and three runs while striking out seven getting the win against Oakland.
Seattle is 6-19 in their last 25 home games, 3-11 in their last 14 against the AL East, and 7-3 in Hernandez’s last 10 starts. Toronto is 8-0 in game one of a series, 11-4 in their last 15 games against a right handed starter, and 4-11 in Litsch’s last 15 road starts. Toronto has won sox of the last eight meetings between these two teams.
I don’t see a lot of runs being scored here and although the total is low the under is the play.Â Take under 7 runs I this ballgame between two solid starting pitchers.