Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox host the Seattle Mariners for game one of their weekend series at Fenway Park in Boston. The Red Sox are -220 favorites over the Mariners. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs.
The Boston Red Sox clawed their way out of last place in the AL East on Thursday but this is a team that has some ground to cover if they are going to compete at the top of the Division. The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games and 5-4 at home this season. Offensively Boston has outscored their opponents 103-106 while as a team they are hitting .239 with Adrian Gonzalez hitting .306, David Ortiz at .282, and Dustin Pedroia at .278. The Red Sox pitching staff has an ERA of 4.50 with the starters at 4.01 and the bullpen at 5.57. For game one of the home stand Boston starts Daisuke Matsuzaka who has allowed a total of two hits and zero runs combined in his last two starts. For the season Matsuzaka has allowed 16 hits and 10 earned runs while striking out 16 in 22 innings of work.
The Seattle Mariners may be one of the worst teams in baseball but they are riding a three game winning streak and are just four and a half games off the pace in the American League West. The Mariners have gone 6-7 on the road, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and have been outscored by their opponents 102-118. Offensively Seattle has a team batting average of .231 with Ichiro Suzuki hitting .313, Miguel Olivo hitting .230, and Milton Bradley hitting .205. The Mariners pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.10 with the starters at 3.86 and the bullpen at 4.65. For game one in Fenway Seattle starts Jason Vargas who has yet to win this year. For the season Vargas has allowed 31 hits and 17 earned runs while striking out 21 in 27.2 innings of work.
Boston is 5-0 against the AL West, 8-3 in their last 11 games overall, and 6-2 in Matsuzaka’s last eight starts against the AL West. Seattle is 6-2 in their last eight games, 4-1 in their last five against a right-handed starter, and 0-5 in Vargas’ last five starts against the AL East. Boston has won five of the last six meetings of these two.
Matsuzaka has been absolutely dominant of late and there is no reason he shouldn’t be tonight. I’ll lay the 220 and take the Red Sox here.
Boston Red Sox -220 Seattle Mariners