Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Hornets

The New Orleans Hornets are 5-point favorites over the Phoenix Suns this evening.  The over/under total for the game is set at 199.

New Orleans finally clinched a playoff spot with a 101-93 victory over Houston on Wednesday night as a three-point home favorite. It was the Hornets fifth win in their last seven games and followed a 108-96 win over Indiana as a 4-point home favorite this past Sunday.   The New Orleans Hornets are currently tied with Portland for sixth place in the Western Conference with a record of 45-33 and 40-38 against the spread. The Hornets lost David West for the season with a knee injury, but Chris Paul and Carl Landry have done a good job in picking up the slack in his absence. Paul is averaging 16.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 9.8 assists a game and Landry is averaging 12.4 points and 3.9 rebounds. Trevor Ariza has also stepped up his game with 19 points in each of his last two games. New Orleans has been one of the more stingy teams in the league, giving up an average of just 93.5 points a game. The problem is on the offensive side of the ball where the team is scoring just 95.1 points a game. The Hornets have been able to maintain this average in the six games since West went down, but his loss will certainly not help their situation in the playoffs. The good news for this game is that New Orleans has averaged 102.7 points in their three games this season against the Suns. New Orleans is 3-1 against the spread in its last four home games and 4-2 against the spread in its last six games overall. The total has stayed der in three of its last five games.

Phoenix is 38-40 overall and 39-39 against the spread.  They will not be participating in the playoffs this year. The Suns come into this game fresh off a 108-98 win over Minnesota as a 4-point road favorite on Wednesday night to snap a four-game road losing streak. Marcin Gortat had a big night against the Timberwolves with 20 points and 16 rebounds in one of his better games as a Sun.  Steve Nash is dishing out a NBA-best 11.4 assists a game, while Gortat leads the team in rebounds with 9.4 per game. The Suns have had no problem putting points on the board this season; averaging 104.9 a game. The main problem has been a defense that is giving up an average of 105.5 points, which is ranked 26th in the league. Phoenix is 3-2 against the spread in its last five games on the road, but just 3-5 against the spread in its last eight games overall. The total has stayed der in three of its last four games.

Head-to-head, the Suns have won five of the last eight games overall, but the Hornets have won two of three this season including a 106-100 victory on March 25 as a six-point road underdog. The total has gone er in three of the last four meetings.  I will be wagering on the Hornets in this game.  The fact that they still have something to play for and the Suns don’t make this an easy play.  Ill lay the 5-points with the Hornets who should win easily.


New Orleans Hornets -5 Phoenix Suns

April 8, 2011 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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