New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies are a -150 favorite over the New York Mets this evening.  The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 runs. This pitching matchup is one between a No. 1 starter and a No. 5 starter, but to no one’s surprise, it is clear that the edge is going to the No. 5 man in this duel.

The ace is New York’s Mike Pelfrey who would be an excellent addition for another team as a No. 4 starter.  Pelfrey clearly does not have the stuff to be a stopper at the top of a rotation. He conceded five runs in 4-1/3 innings of work in his first start of the season at the Florida Marlins, and he suffered the loss in the due.  For his career, Pelfrey is only just barely a .500 pitcher at 43-42, and his best career ERA came last year at 3.66. Joe Blanton, on the other hand, would be a No. 2 or a No. 3 pitcher on many teams but is answering the bell after Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Cole Hamels and Roy Oswalt in the Phillies rotation. This will be the first outing of the year for Blanton after last season when he went 9-6 with a 4.82 ERA. Blanton does have a heck of a career against the Mets, as he is 3-1 with a 2.64 ERA. He is holding New York batters to just a .228 batting average.

It’s really hard to argue with anything that the Phils have done offensively this year. They scored at least five runs in a three-game sweep against the Houston Astros to start the season, and they are batting .349 as a team. There are already 10 extra base hits to speak of on the campaign, and Ryan Howard is leading the way with six runs driven in and four scored. The bullpen remains a major bone of contention for those betting on the Phils on the MLB lines on a regular basis. This unit has allowed five runs in eight innings of work. The rest of the starting rotation only allowed six runs in 19 innings.

The Mets did play well in Philadelphia last season, winning four of the nine games. New York and Philadelphia split their 18 total meetings in 2010.  The der has won in 22 of the last 30 games played between these two clubs.  In tonights game I am taking the Phillies and laying the -150.  I have no trust in Mike Pelfrey against the Philadelphia hitters.


Philadelphia Phillies -150 New York Mets

April 6, 2011 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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