New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves are -200 favorites over the New York Mets tonight.Â The over/under total for the game is set at 8 runs.
The Mets have been an atrocious 2-5 in New York including three straight losses to the 10-2 Colorado Rockies at home by one run. In the second game of a doubleheader today the Mets let another one slip losing 9-4. New York scored the first two runs of Game 4 in the second inning on a Mike Nickeas double while Jose Reyes drove in a pair during the fourth to put Colorado behind by two runs heading to the fifth, but the Rockies rocked the boat for three runs in the sixth to take their first lead of the game. But Colorado wasn’t done adding three more runs that inning and adding one more in the ninth to cap the scoring. Colorado opened the day with a 6-5 win as New York’s rally fell short after trailing by four runs heading into the eighth inning. Reyes homered to right field in the eighth while Scott Hairston slugged in Willie Harris on a home run too in the ninth, but the Mets couldn’t get pinch-runner Chin-ling Hu home from second base with one out to tie the score. New York’s problem hasn’t been scoring. It’s been pitching. In all nine of their losses the opposition has scored at least five runs, once just five, while in their wins the opponents hasn’t scored more than four runs. If Atlanta is going to win Game One it will most likely be with their pitching since scoring has been more or less optional this season.
The Braves have only been involved in three games this season, which have had more than nine runs, scored. Conversely seven of their games have seen six runs or less. Scoring was a problem once again against the 7-5 Florida Marlins at home during the first two games as Atlanta won 5-0 and lost 5-1. However the Braves’ Brian McCann homered after Chipper Jones drove in a run to give Atlanta a 4-3 lead after the first inning. Florida added a run in the second and third to go up 5-4, but Dan Uggla’s solo home run knotting things up in the fourth. However the Braves fell in the final game 6-5.
Derek Lowe is 1-2 this season despite a staggering 1.45 ERA. Two times the Braves were shutout in games Lowe pitched. I think against the Mets’ D.J. Carrasco, Atlanta will have no problem scoring and like them to win here by at least a couple runs.
Atlanta Braves -200 over New York Mets