Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

The New York Yankees are listed as a -150 favorite over the Minnesota Twins at Yankee Stadium this evening.  The over/under total is set at 10 runs. Despite all their great talent, the fate of the New York Yankees may be decided by the effectiveness of their backend starting pitchers. This means guys like 24-year-old Ivan Nova. The right-handed Nova captured the Yankees fourth starting slot by posting a 1.80 ERA in spring training.

Nova made seven starts and had 10 appearances for New York last year in his first season. His record was just 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 42 innings. The Yankees, though, are 5-1 during Novas past six starts. The key for Nova is getting through the middle innings. He had a 2.57 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in the first four innings of his starts. Those figures tailed off to a 12.46 ERA and 2.65 WHIP from the fifth inning on.

New York has been dominant at Yankee Stadium going 97-41 in its last 138 home contests through this past Saturday. The Yankees have been real tough at home against right-handers and American League Central Division foes, which isnt good news for Minnesota starter Scott Baker. The Yankees are 52-18 during their past 70 games versus AL Central competition and were 74-27 in their last 101 home games when facing a right-handed starter.

The Twins have won the past five times the right-handed Baker has pitched on the road. Baker, however, is not the ideal pitcher to deal with the Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Hes a fly ball pitcher prone to giving up home runs. Like the rest of the Twins starters, hes more effective pitching at Target Field. Baker has a career mark of 55-42 with a 4.32 ERA. The seven-year pro was 12-9 with a 4.49 ERA last season. Baker has good stuff as evidenced by striking out almost eight batters per nine innings and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of nearly 3-to-1. Baker is 2-2 lifetime versus the Yankees with a 4.15 ERA. The Twins are 2-8 the past 10 times theyve gone up against a right-handed starter on the road. Minnesota also was 1-10 on the road in its last 11 road contests.

In this matchup I definitely like the over of 10 runs.  With two backend starters going I see a lot of runs being scored.  I hope to surpass that 10 run mark by the 6th inning.  My only wager is this game will be the er as I don’t put much into either starting picture dominating,


Over 10

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April 4, 2011 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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