Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets are 14-point favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  The over/under for the game is set at 213.

Twelve straight losses has Minnesota sitting level with Cleveland for the worst record in the NBA and finding a victory in their remaining games should be tough, as their All-Star Kevin Love is listed as doubtful for tonight’s meeting with Denver. The Wolves’ latest loss came on Wednesday against the Suns, in a game where Michael Beasley had a game-high 24 points, while Anthony Randolph added 19 points in Love’s absence.

The Nuggets have lost just twice in the last nine games and both of them have come against the Thunder. In the Nuggets loss to the Thunder last night, Nene had a team-high 18 points while the Nuggets shot just 40.3 percent from the field as a team. Perhaps the biggest disappointment of the night was that the Nuggets lost the battle at the point guard position, as Ty Lawson had just five points with six turnovers, compared to Russell Westbrook’s 17 points, eight assists and six steals.

The Nuggets have taken all three meetings this season, including a 113-100 win in Minnesota on Feb. 5. Denver has won the last five meetings and nine of the last 10, but this is the first meeting between these teams since the trade of Chauncey Billups and Carmelo Anthony.  Minnesota are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games as a road underdog of 11 points or more but just 1-4 against the spread in their last five overall. The Nuggets are 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 home games versus a sub .500 team and 4-0 against the spread in their last four games playing on zero days rest. Head to head, Minnesota are a perfect 7-0 against the spread in the last seven meetings in Denver.

While the season is long gone for the Minnesota squad, they will look to finish their season off on the right note. The problem is, the Nuggets are in hot form and have been particularly hard to beat at home where they average a league-high 110.7 points. The only argument I can see for the Wolves’ in this game is that they will be well rested having not played since Wednesday, while the Nuggets played last night and didn’t look very impressive. I think the line is a bit hefty, so I’m banking on the visitors to get a backdoor cover here.  Im taking Minnesota plus the 14-points.

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April 9, 2011 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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