Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
It’s a logjam atop the NL Central and both the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds compete for positioning as they meet in Milwaukee. The Brewers are -120 favorites over the Reds with an over/under total set at 8.5 runs.
The Milwaukee Brewers fell behind early on Monday and were never able to catch up as they blew a chance to pass the Reds in the standing and grab sole possession of second place in the National League Central. Ryan Braun homered and had two hits, Rickie Weeks, Casey McGehee, and Jonathon Lucroy all had two hits but the Brewers 10 hits and five runs weren’t enough to get the win. Starter Chris Narveson was shelled allowing eight hits and seven runs in 2.1 innings to take his first loss of the year. On Tuesday Milwaukee looks to bounce back with Marco Estrada as he makes his third start of the year. For the season Estrada has allowed 13 hits and five earned runs while striking out 13 in 14 innings of work.
The Cincinnati Reds showed once again on Monday that while they may not win them all this year, they aren’t going to quit and they are still going to win plenty. Jay Bruce hit a home run and scored twice, Drew Stubbs and Brandon Phillips had three hits each, and Ryan Hanigan drove in a pair as the Reds pounded the Brewers early and often. Bronson Arroyo was in cruise control as he allowed six hits and two runs over 6.1 innings to get his third win of the year. On Tuesday Cincinnati looks to follow it up with another win as they send Mike Leake to the mound for the start. For the season Leake has allowed 20 hits and 13 earned runs while striking out 20 in 23.2 innings of work.
Milwaukee is 6-2 in their last eight against the NL Central, 4-2 in their last six home games, and 5-3 in their last eight home games against a right-handed starter. Cincinnati is 6-1 in their last seven game two of a series, 9-17 in their last 26 road games, and 4-1 in Leake’s last five starts. Cincinnati is 5-1 in their last six meetings in Milwaukee.
The Reds seem to have the Brewers number and it’s going to take a big performance by the Brewers’ starters to hold the Reds down and I don’t think they get that performance here. I’m taking the Reds at +100
Cincinnati Reds +100 Milwaukee Brewers