Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
After two high scoring games, the Chicago Cubs host the Los Angeles Dodgers for the final game of their weekend series. The Cubs are -130 favorites over the Dodgers with an over/under run total set at 8 runs.
The Chicago Cubs rallied from down three runs late on Saturday to get the win against the Dodgers and to even their record at .500. Starlin Castro had four hits and three RBI’s, Darwin Barney had three hits and three RBI’s and Marlon Byrd, Jeff Baker, and Reed Johnson all had two hits that were part of the 16 hit -10 run offensive output by the Cubs. Ryan Dempster started but didn’t factor in the decision after allowing nine hits and seven earned runs in 5.2 innings as it was Jeff Samardzija who got the win after pitching 1.1 hitless and Calos Marmol got his fifth save of the year. On Saturday Chicago looks to win the series as the start Carlos Zambrano who is off to a nice start this year. So far this season Zambrano has allowed 22 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 23 in 25.2 innings of work.
The Los Angeles Dodgers battled back and were look like winners headed into the late innings at Wrigley Field on Saturday but they couldn’t hold on and ended up on the wrong end of the scoreboard. Casey Blake, Matt Kemp, and Rod Barajas all homered and Blake, Kemp, and Jamey Carroll all had two hits to pace the Dodgers offense. Ted Lilly was pounded in his return to Chicago as he allowed 11 hits and five runs while lasting just 4.1 innings but it was Matt Guerrier who took the loss allowing four hits and five runs in 1.2 innings of work. On Sunday the Dodgers look for the road series win as they start Hiroki Kuroda. For the season Kuroda has allowed 27 hits and 10 earned runs while striking out 16 in 27 innings of work.
Chicago is 4-10 in their last 14 home games against a right handed starter, 7-22 in their last 29 game three of a series, and 4-1 in Zambrano’s last five home starts. Los Angeles is 5-2 in their last seven games overall, 1-4 in their last five game three of a series, and 16-5 in Kuroda’s last 21 starts against the NL Central. Los Angeles is 4-2 in their last six meetings with Chicago.
While we’ve seen a ton of offense and runs in this series game three goes to the pitchers and the play here is the under. My wager for this game is under the 8 run total.