Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

First place meets second place in the National League West as the Colorado Rockies host the San Francisco Giants.  The San Francisco Giants are -135 favorites over the Colorado Rockies with an over/under run total of 8.

The Colorado Rockies are the hottest teams in baseball in the early going and are four games clear atop the NL West. The Rockies have won eight of their last 10 and have outscored the opposition by 26 runs overall, 85-59. As a team Colorado is hitting .259 but at the top of the numbers Jonathan Herrera is hitting.400, Troy Tulowitzki is hitting .364, Seth Smith is hitting .313 and Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .288. The Rockies pitching staff has an ERA of 3.39 with the starters at 3.35 and the bullpen at 3.47. For Monday’s series opener Colorado starts Esmil Rogers who is unbeaten this year. For the season Rogers has allowed 11 hits and four runs while striking out nine in 13 innings of work.

The San Francisco Giants are looking a lot like they did a season ago, not wowing anyone in the early going but staying within striking distance of the leader. The Giants are four games back in the NL West after going 7-3 in their last 10 games and overall they have outscored their opponents 62-56. As a team San Francisco is hitting .267 as Pablo Sandoval is hitting .240, Freddy Sanchez is hitting .298, Buster Posey is hitting .296, and Aubrey Huff is hitting .250. The Giants pitching staff has an ERA of 3.38 as the starters are at 3.55 and the bullpen is at 3.12. For game one of this important early season series San Francisco starts Tim Lincecum. Thus far this season Lincecum has allowed 14 hits and four runs while striking out 22 in 19.1 innings of work.

Colorado is 4-0 in their last four games as an underdog, 8-1 in their last nine games overall, and 0-5 in Rogers’ last five starts against the NL West. San Francisco is 4-1 in their last five games, 21-11 in their last 32 road games, and 8-2 in Lincecum’s last 10 starts. San Francisco has won four of the last five meetings while they are 1-4 in Lincecum’s last five road starts at Colorado.

This one reeks of a pitcher’s duel and runs should be at a premium. My play here is on the under 8 runs.  I dont expect more than 5 or 6 runs in tonights game.


Under 8 runs

April 18, 2011 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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