San Diego St. Aztecs vs. Connecticut Huskies

The UConn Huskies are 1-point favorites over the San Diego St. Aztecs in this Sweet 16 matchup.  The over/under total for the game is set at 130 points. The second-seeded San Diego State Aztecs could have a sizable homecourt advantage being that there campus in only 90-miles from Anaheim.

The San Diego St. Aztecs are 34-2 on the season and 22-12 against the spread.  The Aztecs are one of two Mountain West Conference teams remaining along with BYU. Only the ACC has more squads left with Duke, North Carolina and Florida State. BYU is the only team to beat San Diego State all year, 71-58 and 80-67 in the regular season before revenge was served in the conference tourney final. The Aztecs won 72-54 with BYU feeling the loss of suspended forward Brandon Davies. Sophomore small forward Kawhi Leonard leads San Diego St and is a potential NBA lottery pick who brings the intensity every night. San Diego beat Northern Colorado in the opening round 68-50 as 14-point favorites. Leonard had 21 points and 10 boards. The next game was a 71-64 overtime win over Temple, a fortunate ver of the 5-points. The Northern Colorado game went der the 129-point total and the Temple contest would have too if not for the overtime.

The UConn Huskies are 28-9 overall and 20-11 against the spread. The Huskies were one of the most talked about teams heading into March Madness after winning the Big East Tournament with an incredible five wins in five days. That was after entering as a ninth seed. There was thought that Connecticut might have a letdown coming off that performance, but it hasnt happened. An opening 81-52 blowout of Bucknell as 10-point favorites was followed by a 69-58 win over Cincinnati as 3-point favorites. Kemba Walker had 33 points last game against Cincinnati. Hes one of the nations leading scorers with 23.3 points per game, but is also getting help lately from freshman Jeremy Lamb who is averaging 14.8 points per game in his last 7 games.  Connecticut is now 7-0 against the spread in their last seven games.

The winner of this game faces the winner of Arizona and Duke.  I expect that to be the UConn Huskies as no team is playing as well as they are right now.  San Diego States home court advantage will help them some but in the end UConn will win.  I am taking them minus the 1-point.


Connecticut Huskies -1 San Diego St. Aztecs

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