San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks

The Dallas Mavericks are 2-point favorites over the San Antonio Spurs this evening.  The over/under total for the game is set at 198.  This should be an excellent game between two of the elite teams in the Western Conference.

The San Antonio Spurs are 54-13 overall and 39-28 against the spread.  The Spurs are coming off their worst loss of the season, 110-80 at Miami on Monday. That was a revenge game for LeBron James and company after a San Antonio 30-point home win over Miami 10 days earlier. Coach Gregg Popovich has done a great job this year as San Antonio has a 6-game lead over the Lakers and Dallas for top-spot in the Western Conference.  The Spurs have allowed an average of 106 points per game in the last four games and 102 points per game over their last 12. That compares unfavorably to the 97.2 points per game for the season, a respectable 12th in the NBA.  The softer defense has helped the er go 9-3 in the Spurs last twelve games. San Antonio now has a rare three days off between games, never a bad thing with starters Manu Ginobili, Tim Duncan, and Antonio McDyess ranging from 33-36 in age. The team does have one of the NBAs most productive benches, but the starters will need to play a bigger role once the playoffs hit.  The Spurs are 23-10 on the road this season and are 22-11 against the spread away from home.

The Dallas Mavericks are 48-20 overall and 38-30 against the spread.  The Mavericks are considerably more tired than the Spurs. Theyre playing their third game in four nights after flying out West for two quick games at Portland and Golden State. Forward Peja Stojakovic has missed the last five games and is doubtful for tonight. Hes started 13 games since coming over in late January and averaged a respectable 8.1 points per game. The Mavericks want to keep Shawn Marion as a super-sub, so they tried starting the newly acquired Corey Brewer against Golden State. He only lasted six minutes and didnt score.  The Mavericks are 24-10 at home this season while going only 16-17 against the spread.

This is the fourth meeting this year between these two in-state rivals.  San Antonio is 2-1 overall and against the spread.  I am taking the San Antonio Spurs again today, as I believe the more rested team and the team that was embarrassed on Monday will be ready to play to play tonight.  I will take the 2-points as Im confident the Spurs will win this evening.


San Antonio Spurs +2 Dallas Mavericks

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March 18, 2011 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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