Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Creighton Blue Jays

The Creighton Blue jays are 1-point favorites over the Northern Iowa Panthers in the first-round of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament.  The over/under for the game is set at 125.  Northern Iowa was one of the big stories of last years March Madness as they danced its way into the Sweet 16 as a No. 9 seed, grabbing an opening round win over UNLV and then pulling the upset of the tournament by downing Kansas, the top seed in the Midwest Region.  Northern Iowas run ended in the Sweet 16 when they lost to Michigan St. 59-52.

Creighton is the #5 seed in the Missouri Valley.  They are 18-13 overall and 16-13 against the spread.  The Blue Jays last played on Saturday and beat Northern Iowa 63-66 as 6-point home favorites. The biggest statistical advantage the Blue Jays had was hitting 8-of-14 from 3-point range as opposed to the Panthers making 4-of-12.  The Blue Jays also outshot the Panthers from the field when the two met in late January in Iowa, but Northern Iowa came away with the win thanks to many turnovers Creighton committed.  Northern Iowa won the 71-66, but failed to cover the 7-point spread at home.  Januarys game was an easy er with the total set at 119.  Last Saturdays game was an easy der with the total being 127.

Northern Iowa is the #4 seed in the tournament.  They are 19-12 overall and 11-16 against the spread.  The Panthers have struggled recently only winning once in their last seven games.  They have also failed to cover in six of their last seven games.  Northern Iowa will be playing today without senior forward Lucas O-Rear who hurt his ankle back in early February.  He was the teams leading rebounder before the injury.

I will be taking Creighton minus the one point today.  Creighton comes into the game with confidence just beating Northern Iowa last week.  Northrn Iowa has been a team that has been struggling recently and has shown little fight in their games.  I fully expect the Creighton Blue Jays to win this game quite comfortably.  I will also take a stab at wagering the er.  In conference tournament games team become desperate at the end of games and foul a lot.  Points with the clocked stopped is an ideal situation when betting the er


Creighton Blue Jays -1 Northern Iowa

Over 125

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