BYU Cougars vs. Florida Gators

The Florida Gators are 3-point favorites over the BYU Cougars tonight in the Sweet Sixteen of the Southeast Region.  The over/under total for the game is set at 149.  Tonights winner advances to play the winner of the Wisconsin verse Butler game that is also being played this evening.

BYU is 32-4 overall and 15-17 against the spread.  They have just three losses since mid-December, two of those to the New Mexico following wins over San Diego State Aztecs both times.  The Cougars topped the Aztecs twice in the regular season before falling to them in the Mountain West Finals on March 12th. BYU narrowly missed the cover in its NCAA Tournament opener last Thursday with a 74-66 win over Wofford as a 9-point favorite. The Cougars followed that up with an 89-67 rout of Gonzaga as one-point favorites. All discussions about Brigham Young start and end with senior guard Jimmer Fredette, the nation’s leading scorer at 28.8 points per game. Despite scoring 32 points, he had a bit of an off game in the win over Wofford hitting 10-of-25 from the field and only 2-of-9 from 3-point range. Fredette found his mark from three-point land in the victory over the Gonzaga, sinking 7-of-12 from beyond the 3-point line.  Fredette finished with 34 points against Gonzaga.

Florida is 28-7 overall and 17-14 against the spread.  They have dropped dropped just two games since the end of January, both defeats at the hands of Kentucky including a 70-54 defeat in the SEC Tournament Championship Game.  The Gators shot well in both wins so far in the NCAA Tournament against UC-Santa Barbara and UCLA. Kenny Boynton, who scored 13 and 12 points respectively in the pair of victories last week, has been limited in practice this week with an ankle injury. The sophomore guard is second on the team averaging 14 points per game, is expected to play and will draw Fredette on the defensive side of the ball most of the night.

A double-overtime thriller broke out when these two schools last squared off in their 2010 NCAA Tournament openers.  Seeded seventh, BYU scored a 99-92 win over the Gators with Fredette hitting a pair of threes in the second overtime as part of a 37-point afternoon. BYU covered as 5-point underdogs. The two teams combined for 150 points in regulation to top the 147-point total in that game. Today, I am expecting a lot of points as both teams like to push the tempo and each teams has great shooters.  My only wager for tonights game will be the er.


Over 149

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