Duke Blue Devils vs. Maryland Terrapins

The Duke Blue Devils come into this ACC match-up as a 3-point road favorite against the Maryland Terrapins.  The over/under for the game is set at 148.  Duke is looking to bounce back from an embarrassing loss to St. Johns by the score of 93-78.  The loss dropped Duke down to the #5 team in the country.  Last week they were ranked #3.

Duke is 19-2 on the season and 10-10 against the spread.  They are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven after starting the season 8-5 against the spread.  Duke has not been the same team since Kyrie Irving has been out with a toe injury.  It is questionable whether or not he will return this year.  Since Irving been out the last eight games, Nolan Smith has led the team in scoring with 23.1 points per game. Duke is scoring 77.9 points per game in their last seven games; which is down from the 89 points per game they were scoring in their first 14 games.  Dukes defense has been poor also.  They give up 65.3 points per game, which is 6th in the ACC and 105th in the nation.  Last years squad that won the National Championship gave up only 61 points per game.  Duke is 4-1 against the spread in their last five following a loss.

Maryland is 14-7 on the year and 8-8 against the spread.  The Terrapins conference record is 4-3.  Not bad for a team that lost its three-leading scorers from last year.  In their last game Saturday, the Terrapins beat Georgia Tech on the road as a 2-point favorite.  The 137 combined points went der the 140-point total.  The der is 6-1 in Marylands last seven games. The Terrapins are third in the ACC in scoring with 76.6 points per game.  Maryland has won their last three games and has covered in two of them.  The Terrapins are 10-3 at home this year, but are only 2-6 against the spread at home.

These teams played last month with Duke winning at home 71-64.  Duke failed to cover at home as they were 14-point favorites in the game.  The game also easily went der the total of 155.  I expect Maryland to upset Duke tonight.  I will take the points at home.  Maryland has been playing much better than Duke over the past two weeks and I expect that to continue.


Maryland Terrapins +3 Duke Blue Devils

February 3, 2011 by : Posted in College Basketball, Sportsbook No Comments

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