Duke Blue Devils vs. St. Johns Red Storm

The Duke Blue Devils travel to New York City to play the St. Johns Red Storm on Sunday.  Duke is an 8.5-point road favorite against St. Johns.  The over/under total is set at 150.

St. Johns is 11-8 on the year and only 6-11 against the spread.  St. Johns began its Big East play with a couple of tough road wins at West Virginia and Providence.  Then they came home and beat Georgetown 61-58 as a two-point underdog.  Since then, they have struggled.  St. Johns is 1-5 in the month of January and is has also failed to cover in five of those six games.  In their last game, Georgetown got their revenge on St. Johns beating them by 25 on Wednesday evening.  Georgetown was favored in the game by 7.5 at home.  It was St. Johns third consecutive loss and the third time in a row that they failed to cover the spread.

Duke is an impressive 19-1 overall and 10-9 against the spread.  Duke has won four straight games since losing at Florida St. two weeks ago.  The Duke Blue Devils beat the Boston College Eagles 84-68 as a 17-point favorite.  The er of 150 cashed in the game.  The er is 11-8 in Duke games this year.  In the Boston College game Nolan Smith scored 28 points.  Seth Curry added 20, hitting on five of seven three-pointers.

Last December these two teams faced each other at Duke.  Duke won the game 80-71 as a 17-point home favorite. St. Johns played a very good game and had chances to win in the second half.  Two years ago, Duke also won and failed to cover in New York when they beat the Red Storm 76-69 as a 14-point road favorite.  Both of the previous meetings went er, but in the 136-139 range.  Today the total is set at 150, which I believe is high.  I am going to take the under in this game.  Although St. Johns covered in the last two games against Duke, I am going to take Duke minus the 8.5 points.  Dukes experience and depth will be too much for the Red Storm to handle this afternoon.


Duke Blue Devils -8.5 St. Johns Red Storm

Under 150

January 30, 2011 by : Posted in College Basketball, March Madness, Sportsbook No Comments

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