Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs are listed as a 11.5-point favorite over the traveling Denver Nuggets this evening.  The total for the game is 211.  This will be a difficult game for the Denver Nuggets who are 22-16 this season.  Despite such a successful overall record, the Denver Nuggets have only covered the listed point spread fourteen times in their first thirty-eight games.  The San Antonio Spurs have the best record in the NBA, with an amazing 36-6 record.   They have also been successful against the point-spread winning twenty-five times in their first forty games.

The Denver Nuggets have struggled this season on the road, only having a 5-12 record away from Denver.  The San Antonio Spurs have an impressive 21-2 record at home and are 13-10 against the spread in these home games.

Denver is 2nd in the league in points scored with 106.9 points per game but is 23rd in points allowed this season with 104.1 points per game.  Denver is currently on a three game winning streak after beating the Cleveland Cavs last night.  The er has won in Denver last three games.  San Antonio has won five straight games and has covered the point spread in three out of those five games.   San Antonio ranks fifth in the league in points per game with 104.6 and also rank fifth is assists with 23.2 per game.  The Spurs are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games and are 12-4 against the spread against teams in their own division.

San Antonio has won the last four match-ups with the Denver Nuggets and has covered in three of those games.  Denver covered in their last games verse San Antonio when they lost 109-103, but were getting 8-points as a road underdog.  It is interesting to me that in December they were an 8-point underdog, but in January they are an 11.5-point underdog with no key injuries to their side.  It looks to me that there is some hidden value in taking the Nuggets in this game.  I will be taking the Nuggets plus the 11.5 points and will also take the over 211, since both teams rank in the top of league in points scored.


Denver +11.5 San Antonio Spurs

Over 211

January 16, 2011 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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