Australian Open Day 11 Preview and Picks

The consecutive days undefeated streak had to end some time and it did yesterday when David Ferrer upset Rafael Nadal.  The loss was mainly due to a hamstring injury to Nadal.  Without that injury, Nadal most likely wins the match.  Andy Murray won for us earlier in the day, winning in 4-sets.  Our overall record for the tournament still stands at an impressive 22-6.

Roger Federer -225 vs. Novak Djokovic +175

Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic will be facing each other in consecutive Grand Slam semi-finals when they face each other this evening. Their most recent major meeting did not disappoint, as Djokovic saved two match points before prevailing 5-7, 6-1, 5-7, 6-2, 7-5 in the semis of last summer’s U.S. Open. That was just another installment of what has already become one of the fiercest rivalries in all of tennis. Federer, though, got revenge a whopping three times last fall. He got the best of Djokovic in Shanghai, Basel, and at the World Tour Finals, losing just one set in the process. Overall, Federer is dominating the head-to-head series 13-6. They have faced each other twice at the Australian Open; Federer won 6-2, 7-5, 6-3 in the 2007 fourth round and Djokovic pulled off a 7-5, 6-3, 7-6(5) upset in the 2008 semifinals. Neither Federer nor Djokovic has lost a match this season. Djokovic did not play an ATP tournament prior to the Australian Open, while Federer captured the Doha title almost three weeks ago. Thus they take a combined 15-0 record for their 2011 campaigns into Thursday’s marquee match-up. This could obviously go either way, and if both players maintain their current level it should be the match of the tournament. Based on slam-winning experience and their three most recent encounters, Federer in five competitive sets is the pick.

Pick-Federer in 5 sets

Li Na -175 vs. Caroline Wozniacki +135

Li Na beat Caroline Wozniacki at last years Australian Open and will be looking to do the same to reach the finals.  She also beat Wozniacki in Sydney two years ago.  She certainly dominates the worlds # 1 in Australia.  Wozniacki had to fight 3 sets to beat Schiavone in the quarterfinals while Li Na had a much easier time in her quarterfinal match.  Wozniacki also has the added pressure of being the worlds #1 player and has yet to win a major.  The added pressure and a lingering thigh injury, I believe prevents Wozniacki to making it to the finals.  Li Na in straight sets is the pick

Pick- Li Na in 2 sets

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January 26, 2011 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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